Best Answer: It depends on whether Moore's Law is repealed or not. Not really a law, it was a prediction that pretty much stayed true, that the number of transistors you can put on a chip doubles every 24 months. Or is it 18 months. Anyhow it's that computing power increases at an exponential rate very rapidly.

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Moore's law has run into a brick wall though. The brick wall is heat. This was a bigger problem for pc's in the past, they had it beat for a long time but now it's coming back to haunt them. Best code editor for mac 2018.

There's now so many transistors on a cpu chip that you need a giant heatsink and a giant fan to cool them, and for a ps3 you need cooling rods too. The system fan is 5 inches across. I think Moore's Law has already been broken, because the latest cpu's that still reach the curve are counting all 2 or 4 cores of the cpu, that is, they're counting the total transistors in all 4 of them instead of the transistors on one chip. In reality, the number of transistors you can put on a chip has fallen below the curve, and it's unsure whether it will catch up again. What saved it was materials advances that allowed finer than 65nm circuitry, and there was something else that is supposed to allow cpu's to clock over 4ghz without melting but I can't remember what it was cause it hasn't been implemented yet. If Moore's Law were still valid, there wouldn't be multicore pc's.

They make multicore pc's and consoles because that's the only way to make them faster. As an architecture multicore is clumsy and hard to program, and expensive to make too. So the point of all that? Well look at the ps2. It was released in 2000.


The best ps2 emulator, pcsx2, is just now almost done, people are finally able to play some games with it. It will reach true beta stage by 2010 at the latest. So it took the ps2, a single-core console with a 300mhz cpu and a little case fan, that long to make it to pc's, when the first few years of its existence pc's were still on P3's, then P4's, Pentium D, AMD Athlon - not even multicore yet. Meaning Moore's Law was still valid, so 10 years for a Sony console when pc's are still improving at Moore speed.